Wednesday, April 5th, 2006...5:22 pm

US Presidential Election, 2006

Jump to Comments

Accord­ing to this spoiler image (right),

Santos/McGarry have won: Col­or­ado, Con­necti­cut, Delaware, Dis­trict of Columbia, Illinois, Maine, Mary­land, Mas­sachu­setts, Michigan, Min­nesota, Mis­souri, New Hamp­shire, New Jer­sey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Car­o­lina, and Wis­con­sin for a total of 204 elect­oral votes.

Vinick/Sullivan

have won: Alabama, Arkan­sas, Flor­ida, Geor­gia, Indi­ana, Iowa, Kan­sas, Ken­tucky, Mis­sis­sippi, Neb­raska, North Car­o­lina, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, Ten­nessee, Ver­mont, Vir­ginia, and West Vir­ginia for a total of 182 elect­oral votes.

Thus the states still in play are (behind Josh): Alaska, Ari­zona, Cali­for­nia, Hawaii, Idaho, Louisi­ana, Montana, Nevada, New Mex­ico, Oklahoma, Ore­gon, Texas, Utah, Wash­ing­ton and Wyoming.

Using some reas­on­able deduc­tion, let’s award the Repub­lic­ans: Alaska, Ari­zona, Idaho, Louisi­ana, Montana, Nevada, New Mex­ico, Oklahoma, Utah, and Wyom­ing. Sim­il­arly, the Demo­crats should carry: Hawaii, Ore­gon, and Washington.

Hence the score is reas­on­ably, Santos/McGarry: 222, Vinick/Sullivan: 227.

They need 270 to win. Santos/McGarry are short 48, and Vinick/Sullivan are short 43. As Texas is worth 34, it doesn’t mat­ter who pre­vails there. Hence, the cru­cial swing state is the golden state of CALIFORNIA.

SPOILER

Down in the Val­ley psp

It’s pretty obvi­ous that San­tos wins the elec­tion, which means he won Cali­for­nia. I’m also guess­ing he car­ries his home state of Texas as well. So the final tally should be around: 311 to 227

.

Leave a Reply